Investment Growth · Methodology

How the calculation works

Illustrate how contributions, returns, fees and inflation could shape an investment over time.

Return to calculator

Included

  • Low, central and high deterministic scenarios
  • Fixed or increasing monthly contributions
  • Percentage, fixed, contribution, initial and exit fees
  • Today-money and future-money values
  • A user-controlled market-shock scenario and optional target

Outside this method

  • Return probabilities or Monte Carlo simulation
  • Investment or asset-allocation recommendations
  • Automatic pension or investment tax
  • Retirement withdrawals
  • Any claim that investments grow smoothly

Calculation

Core formulas

Net monthly factor

a = [(1 + return) × (1 − annual fee)]^(1/12)

Return and percentage fees are combined multiplicatively.

Month-end contribution

Bₘ = Bₘ₋₁ × a + contribution × (1 − charge) − fixed fee

Regular contributions enter at month end.

Today-money value

Real value = nominal value ÷ (1 + inflation)^years

Nominal and real values describe the same projected balance.

Fee drag

No-fee value − after-fee value

This includes fees and the compound growth lost on them.

Timing convention

When cash flows occur

Returns and percentage fees compound monthly. Contributions enter at month end. The optional shock replaces the central return during the selected year.

Limitations

What the result cannot establish

  • User-entered returns may be optimistic or arbitrary.
  • Constant returns conceal volatility and sequence effects.
  • General inflation may not match personal spending.
  • Tax and wrapper limits are not calculated.

Reference tests

Numerical checks

CaseInputsExpected result
Lump-sum compounding£10,000; 5% return; 10 years£16,288.95
Monthly contributions£100 monthly; 5% effective return; 12 months£1,227.26
Ongoing fee drag£100,000; 5% return; 1% fee; 10 years£147,314.31 after fees

Evidence

Sources