Mortgage Overpayment vs Invest · Methodology

How the calculation works

Compare mortgage overpayment, investing and a user-selected split using the same starting cash and the same original mortgage-term horizon.

Return to calculator

Included

  • A standard capital-and-interest repayment mortgage
  • One-off and regular spare cash
  • A user-entered overpayment charge
  • Overpay, invest and split strategies
  • Low, central and high investment-return scenarios
  • Fees and simplified wrapper adjustments
  • Cash-flow recycling after early mortgage repayment
  • A solved break-even investment return

Outside this method

  • Interest-only, offset and flexible mortgages
  • Changing mortgage rates and future product pricing
  • Lender-specific daily interest and overpayment limits
  • Exact Income Tax or Capital Gains Tax
  • Investment return probabilities or sequence risk
  • Advice about suitability, products or asset allocation

Calculation

Core formulas

Contractual mortgage payment

Payment = P × r ÷ [1 − (1 + r)⁻ⁿ]

The starting balance, monthly mortgage rate and remaining months determine the normal repayment.

Mortgage balance

Bₘ = Bₘ₋₁ + interestₘ − normal payment − overpaymentₘ

Overpayments reduce the balance while the normal payment stays unchanged, so the modelled term shortens.

Investment balance

Iₘ = Iₘ₋₁ × net monthly factor + contributionₘ

The gross return is reduced by the entered annual fee and, for a general account, the user’s annual tax-drag estimate.

Net mortgage-interest saving

Baseline interest − strategy interest − entered overpayment charge

This separates contractual interest avoided from any charge consumed by the overpayment decision.

Fair end-value comparison

End value = investment value after wrapper adjustments at original mortgage end

Once a strategy repays the mortgage early, the released normal payment and extra cash are invested for the remaining months.

Break-even return

Solve Invest end value − Overpay end value = 0

A bisection search finds the gross annual investment return that equalises the two strategies under the entered costs and wrapper assumptions.

Timing convention

When cash flows occur

The lump sum is allocated at the start. Mortgage interest and investment growth are applied monthly. Regular cash is allocated at month end. After the mortgage clears, the unused normal payment and full regular amount move into the investment until the original term ends.

Limitations

What the result cannot establish

  • Holding the mortgage rate constant can materially overstate or understate the eventual interest saving.
  • A smooth low, central or high return does not reproduce market volatility or the order of gains and losses.
  • The pension multiplier and withdrawal keep-rate are user estimates, not a pension tax calculation.
  • The annual tax-drag input cannot reproduce allowance use, realised gains, dividends or changing tax rates.
  • Overpaying could improve a future loan-to-value band, but any resulting mortgage-rate benefit is excluded.
  • The model assumes spare cash remains available and is consistently redirected after the mortgage is repaid.

Reference tests

Numerical checks

CaseInputsExpected result
Standard mortgage payment£250,000 balance; 4.5% rate; 25 yearsContractual payment of approximately £1,390 a month
Lump-sum overpaymentSame mortgage; £10,000 immediate overpayment; normal payment unchangedApproximately £19,584 gross interest saved and repayment around 21 months earlier
No spare cash£0 lump sum and £0 monthly amountNo allocation comparison is produced

Evidence

Sources