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Cash ISA vs Savings vs Premium Bonds vs Gilts Calculator

Compare taxable savings, a Cash ISA, Premium Bonds and a direct conventional gilt using your rates, tax position, time horizon and dealing quote.

1 Enter your figures2 Review assumptions3 Explore the result
Tax year: 2026/27.Premium Bonds assumptions: September 2026 draw; gilt issue data: 21 Aug 2026.

Your figures

Saved locallyYour Money Profile

Copies accessible cash and estimates a savings-tax rate and remaining Personal Savings Allowance from your profile.

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1. Set the cash decision

Rates are assumptions, not a live best-buy feed. Compare products with matching access, guarantees and notice periods.

2. Add your tax position

Enter the marginal rate that would apply after your allowances. Scottish taxpayers pay UK-wide rates on savings income.

3. Premium Bonds

The simulator uses NS&I's estimated september 2026 draw prize distribution, not just the headline prize-fund rate.

4. Direct gilt held to maturity

Select a conventional gilt, then replace the illustrative price with an executable broker quote. This is not live price data.

Your entries stay in this tab and are not sent to Money Considered. A shareable link includes only the assumptions shown in its URL.

Highest modelled annual rate

4.50%Cash ISA, on the entered rates and tax assumptions. Premium Bonds use an expected value; this is not a recommendation or guaranteed ranking.
Taxable savings tax£772£2,159 net gain over 2 years
ISA advantage vs taxable cash£602On the entered rates, before subscription-limit checks
Premium Bonds: no-prize chance0.0%£2,610 expected prizes

Prize simulator

Expected return is not a typical return

£30,000 across 24 eligible monthly draws. The expected value includes very rare large prizes, so the median can be much lower.

£1,67510th£2,300median£3,20090th
Expected prizes
£2,610
Median simulated prizes
£2,300
Chance of no prize
0.0%
Approx. £1m chance
1 in 95,274
10,000 deterministic simulations using the estimated September 2026 prize mix. Re-running identical inputs gives the same illustration.

The selected gilt does not match the 2-year cash horizon.

It matures in about 1.45 years. The gilt row runs to that maturity; the other rows run for 2 years. Choose a closer maturity before comparing the net cash gains.

After-tax cash comparison

Each row is a standalone use of the money. “Modelled” does not mean the rate is fixed by the product.

OptionAmount modelledTime usedTaxNet or expected gainAnnual rateWhat can vary
Taxable savings£30,0002 yr£772£2,1593.54%Rate, tax position, access terms
Cash ISA£30,0002 yr£0£2,7614.50%Rate, access terms, subscription eligibility
Premium Bonds£30,00024 draws£0£2,610 expected4.26%Prizes, odds, prize-fund rate
0⅛% Treasury Gilt 2028£30,0001.45 yr£0£1,7834.07%Quote, costs, accrued interest, tax, early-sale price

Gilt return anatomy

£30,000 buys about £31,723 nominal at a dirty price of £94.530 per £100, after £12 dealing cost. The model adds £59 gross coupons, estimates £0 coupon tax and treats the move to £31,723 redemption value as CGT-exempt for a qualifying direct gilt held by a UK individual.

Assumptions used
  • Taxable savings and ISA rates remain constant and compound annually for the entered whole-year horizon.
  • The unused savings allowance is applied afresh in each modelled year; actual tax-year timing and other interest can change the result.
  • Premium Bonds use fixed holdings, September 2026 odds and the estimated prize distribution. Prizes are not reinvested in the simulation.
  • The prize-fund rate is an average across all eligible Bonds, not an interest rate paid to each holder.
  • The direct-gilt calculation holds the security to maturity, treats coupons as savings income and a qualifying price gain as CGT-exempt. Coupon timing and the Accrued Income Scheme are simplified.
  • FSCS limits, NS&I backing, access delays, fixed-term penalties, ISA subscription limits and provider solvency should be checked separately.

Match the product to the date the cash is needed. A long gilt is not a cash account, and a high expected Premium Bonds return can coexist with a much lower median outcome.

Common questions

Tax-aware cash FAQs

Is a Cash ISA always better than a taxable savings account?

No. A taxable account with a higher rate can produce more after tax where interest remains inside the Personal Savings Allowance or starting rate for savings. Compare net rates, access terms, guarantees and whether using ISA allowance now has longer-term value.

How does the Personal Savings Allowance affect the comparison?

For 2026/27, the Personal Savings Allowance is up to £1,000 for a basic-rate taxpayer, £500 for a higher-rate taxpayer and £0 for an additional-rate taxpayer. The lab applies the unused amount you enter in each modelled year. Other interest and a move between tax bands can change it.

What Premium Bonds rate should I compare with savings?

The prize-fund rate is an average used to fund the draw, not interest paid to each holder. From the September 2026 draw NS&I states a 4.35% prize-fund rate and odds of 21,000 to one per £1 Bond each month. A personal outcome can be zero or far above the average.

Why can the Premium Bonds median be below the prize-fund rate?

Rare high-value prizes lift the mathematical mean. Most wins are small and many smaller holdings win nothing over a short period, so the middle simulated outcome can be below the expected value. The lab shows both.

How accurate is the Premium Bonds simulator?

It uses NS&I’s estimated September 2026 number of prizes at every tier, the published odds and 10,000 deterministic simulations. It assumes a fixed holding and independent monthly chances. NS&I can change the rate, odds and prize allocation, and the simulation is not a prediction of a particular Bond number.

Why are low-coupon gilts potentially tax-efficient outside an ISA?

For a qualifying direct gilt held by a UK individual, coupon income is taxable savings income but the price gain is generally exempt from Capital Gains Tax. A low-coupon gilt bought below £100 can therefore place more return in the exempt price-to-par uplift. Price, maturity, accrued interest and dealing costs still determine the result.

Can I treat a gilt as cash?

Only with care. A conventional gilt held to maturity has a fixed nominal redemption amount, but its market price can move before maturity. A maturity mismatch can create forced-sale risk, and longer gilts can have substantial duration risk. The lab flags when the selected maturity differs from the cash horizon.

Does the lab enforce ISA and savings protection limits?

No. It does not check ISA subscription eligibility, the announced Cash ISA limit change from April 2027, the Financial Services Compensation Scheme limit, joint ownership or provider-specific access restrictions. Verify these separately.

Understand the ideas

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